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☆ The analysts who study price charts for a living don’t like this stock market
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The stock market is showing signs of shaking off its late summer slump, paving the way for a potential year-end rally. The S & P 500 is up more than 3% since Oct. 3 and has risen comfortably above its 200-day moving average near 4,200. And other indexes that try to better represent the entire market than the S & P 500 are showing weakness, according to a Monday note from Strategas strategist Chris Verrone. "These have been very messy charts, but both the equal-weight S & P and the Russell 2000 are again back to negative standing in our proprietary trend model," Verrone said. "The S & P 500 continues to track its seasonal tendency as well.

Persons: JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, Jonathan Krinsky, Chris Verrone, Russell, Verrone, Verrone's, Jason Trennert, Frank Gretz, Wellington Shields, Gretz, Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, " Wald, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Wall, Nasdaq, Wellington, CNBC Locations: U.S, uptrends

☆ 'A defining moment:' Here's the S&P 500 level everyone on Wall Street is watching
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Investors are closely watching as the S & P 500 nears a make-or-break level. The S & P 500 lost 3.7% during the July-September period, snapping a three-quarter winning streak. Those declines put it within striking distance of the key 4,200 level, which has investors on edge for a few technical reasons. "The S & P is at a confluence of support," said John Kolovos, chief technical strategist at Macro Risk Advisors. But he said it did not change his outlook that the index will still test the 4,200 level and could move below it.

Persons: John Kolovos, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Kolovos, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, West Texas

☆ CNBC Daily Open: September is ‘likely to remain messy’
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Brendan McDermid | ReutersThis report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. What you need to know todayThe bottom lineSeptember's story hasn't changed: High yields and oil prices are dragging down stocks. Rising Treasury yields aren't the only costs weighing on the economy — oil prices are surging again. Even though September's already ending, things, as BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky puts it, "are likely to remain messy."

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Treasury inched, that's, John Chambers, September's, Jonathan Krinsky Organizations: HK, New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, CNBC, Treasury, hobbling, Federal, AAA, AA Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Carnage in the bond market again with benchmark ETF down 10% on year to lowest since 2011
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Treasury yields are spiking to levels not seen in over 15 years, causing sell-offs in many of the market's biggest bond funds. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) closed at $89.18 on Monday, which was its lowest close since Feb. 10, 2011, according to FactSet. The Fed's target interest rate is already above 5%, as are short-term Treasury yields. But the long-term decline in bond yields began roughly two decades before that. That trend may finally have reached its turning point, Jim Grant, founder of Grant's Interest Rate Observer, said Tuesday on CNBC's " Squawk Box ."

Persons: Bruno Braizinha, Braizinha, Goldman Sachs, Cecilia Mariotti, Mariotti, Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Jonathan Krinsky, Jim Grant, Grant, BTIG's Krinsky Organizations: Treasury Bond ETF, iShares, Aggregate Bond, Treasury, Bank of America, Barclays, Federal

☆ There's a market index breaking down with an 'ominous precedent,' says a top chart analyst
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

An equal-weighted version of the S & P 500 has hit thresholds that have historically signaled trouble ahead, according to BTIG. Known as the SPW, the equal-weight S & P 500 measures performance by tracking all the stocks in the broad index at equal exposure. In the cap-weighed version, known in short as the SPX , more exposure is given to stocks with larger market caps. That has only happened five times in the last three decades and sets an "ominous precedent," said Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG. .SPX YTD mountain The cap-weighted S & P 500's ascent in 2023 Krinsky said the S & P 500 should test 4,200 points — which is 2.8% off its Friday close of 4,320.06 — if not lower.

Persons: BTIG, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC

☆ Historically volatile week will test the bull market in stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

This historic weakness is well-enshrined in stock market lore and encapsulated in the old chestnut, "Sell Rosh Hashana and buy Yom Kippur." Triple witching refers to each quarter's simultaneous expiration of stock index futures and options and individual stock options. It may be true we are in a bull market, but it is certainly not a typical one. Instead of trying to pick winners, Marks sensibly proposes the opposite: You might also achieve that goal — of producing alpha, or outperformance — by holding fewer of the losers. That is why the vast majority of active stock pickers continue to underperform the market, and why money continues to flow into passive index funds.

Persons: Rosh Hashana, Jonathan Krinsky, Lowry, Howard Marks, Oaktree, Marks, FAANGs, Jesse Livermore, It's Organizations: Triple, Bulls, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Facebook, Netflix Locations: Yom, Yom Kippur

☆ BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky: Too many under the surface risk for bull rally return
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBTIG's Jonathan Krinsky: Too many under the surface risk for bull rally returnJonathan Krinsky, BTIG chief market technician, joins 'Halftime Report' to explain why he believes a significant market downside will be ahead.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky

☆ As crude oil moves to the upside restaurants are seeing downside, says BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAs crude oil moves to the upside restaurants are seeing downside, says BTIG's Jonathan KrinskyJonathan Krinsky, BTIG chief market technician, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss restaurant stocks seeing a broad sell-off, the relationship between crude oil prices and the restaurant sector and a pullback in consumer spending.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky Jonathan Krinsky

☆ BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky says markets are halfway through this correction
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBTIG's Jonathan Krinsky says markets are halfway through this correctionJonathan Krinsky, BTIG, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the market correction and what he's seeing in the technicals.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky

☆ The August sell-off has the market testing some key levels. Here's a breakdown
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The August sell-off has stocks testing some key technical levels, spurring investors to watch where equities will go next. Now, investors are watching to see where the S & P 500 goes next. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500 1-year The strategist said this threshold is a key support as it's a convergence of several trends in the market. The S & P 500 fell to roughly 3,800 in March before resuming its march upward. A combination of technical factors imply that the S & P may test the 4,200 level but might not break significantly below that."

Persons: Sam Stovall, Stovall, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, Michael Bloom Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq Locations: China

Here are some charts illustrating what has changed, and what has not, in meme stocks. Data from JPMorgan illustrate how quickly sentiment can turn among individual investors, who have been among the key drivers of moves in meme stocks. Retail investors sold a net $852 million in single stocks in the past week. The Roundhill MEME ETF (MEME.P), which tracks the performance of a basket of meme stocks, is down about 55% from where it started trading in December 2021, though up about 38% for the year. A quick rise, often followed by a rapid descent, is a fate common to meme stocks of both the past and present.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Marco Iachini, Vanda's, Iachini, Jonathan Krinsky, Tupperware, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Laura Matthews, Ira Iosebashvili, Jamie Freed Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, GameStop, Tupperware Brands, Corp, JPMorgan, Vanda Research, Retail, Global, Reuters, AMC Entertainment, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky sees more value in energy over tech
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBTIG's Jonathan Krinsky sees more value in energy over techJonathan Krinsky, BTIG chief market technician, joins 'Halftime Report' to discuss some risks to the technicals in the Nasdaq.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky Organizations: Nasdaq

☆ Florida's DeSantis replaces elected Democratic prosecutor
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Republican presidential candidate, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, delivers remarks at the annual Christians United for Israel Summit (CUFI), at the Crystal Gateway Marriott in Arlington, Virginia, U.S., July 17, 2023. REUTERS/Kevin Wurm/File PhotoAug 9 (Reuters) - Florida Governor Ron DeSantis on Wednesday suspended a county prosecutor after accusing her of being soft on crime, making her the second elected Democratic law-enforcement official to be removed by the Republican presidential hopeful. "Worrell’s practices and policies have too often allowed violent criminals to escape the full consequences of their criminal conduct," DeSantis said in a statement. Worrell is not the first Florida prosecutor whom DeSantis has dismissed. DeSantis' office sent a letter in April to Worrell's office demanding that she hand over the criminal and judicial record of a suspect accused of killing three people, including a 9-year-old.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Kevin Wurm, DeSantis, Monique Worrell, Andrew Bain, Worrell, Miriam Krinsky, Andrew Warren, Donald Trump, Brendan O'Brien, Andy Sullivan Organizations: Florida, United, Israel Summit, Crystal Gateway Marriott, REUTERS, Democratic, Republican, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, Florida, Orange, Osceola, Hillsborough County, Chicago

☆ Test is underway to see how low markets can go
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-07 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Right now, the S & P 500 is only 2.4% off its closing high on July 31. You'd think the stock market run would kill the big inflows into money market funds that happened in the first half of the year, but you'd be wrong. Money market inflows reaccelerated last week: $21 billion worth of inflows were added, according to Goldman Sachs. U.S. money market fund assets hit $6.7 trillion, the highest level in more than 13 years. There have been renewed inflows into energy, which is on a tear due to tighter oil supplies, and the equal-weight S & P 500 ( RSP ), all signs that the "broadening out" story is still alive.

Persons: Fitch, Sam Stovall, Jonathan Krinsky, Gold, You'd, Goldman Sachs, It's Organizations: Nasdaq

☆ BTIG's Krinsky gives his read on the technicals in big-cap tech
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBTIG's Krinsky gives his read on the technicals in big-cap techJonathan Krinsky, BTIG chief market technician, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss the trouble he sees in the technicals.

Persons: Krinsky, Jonathan Krinsky

☆ Stock market setting up for a textbook seasonal correction, chart analysts say
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-07 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Last week's hiccup in the stock market rally could expand into a seasonal slump, according to Wall Street technical analysts. The S & P 500 fell 2.27% last week for its worst week since March, closing at 4,478.03. Oppenheimer technical analyst Ari Wald said in a note to clients dated Saturday that the market is "developing as a textbook seasonal correction." The S & P 500 is still up more than 16% year to date even after last week's decline. In fact, a 5% pullback from Tuesday's close in the S & P would take you just shy of the August '22 highs," Ginsberg said.

Persons: Oppenheimer, Ari Wald, Wald, Wolfe, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Jonathan Krinsky, SPX, BTIG's Krinsky, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Street, Nasdaq, Investment, Twitter, Wolfe Research

☆ REITs beginning to break the 18-month downtrend, says BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailREITs beginning to break the 18-month downtrend, says BTIG's Jonathan KrinskyBTIG's Jonathan Krinsky joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss investor sentiment in REITs, apartment REITs improving as the rental market grows, and investment strategies for a bifurcated real estate market.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky

☆ Value and growth strategies are about to switch, BTIG says. These are the ETFs to play it
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

This divergence likely resolves with value moving a bit higher and growth moving meaningfully lower," Krinsky said. The iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF (IWD) has an expense ratio of 0.18% and is up about 4% year to date. IVE YTD mountain The IVE has outperformed some of the other large value ETFs in the first half. In fact, the 11 biggest value ETFs have all seen outflows, fitting with Krinsky's theory that the value theme could be due for a rebound. Two large value funds that have seen inflows are Dimensional's U.S. Marketwide Value ETF (DFUV) and U.S.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Russell, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Big Tech, Marketwide Locations: U.S

☆ Market momentum wanes heading into the final week of June after monster rally in the first half
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Against this backdrop, investors will head into the final week of June with a relatively light economic calendar. However, those few data sets could provide investors with clues on how the market will fare going into the second half. Key inflation data ahead Of note next week is the core personal consumption expenditures index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Reports to watch out for include Tuesday's new home sales and Thursday's pending home sales data, both for May. Elsewhere, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky warned this week the downside for tech names could be as "equally impressive" as their rally.

Persons: Jerome Powell, annualized, Dow Jones, Terry Sandven, Sandven, that's, Megan Horneman, Stephen Suttmeier, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky, Art Hogan, Hogan, Mills, Paychex Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal, Bank of England, Global Wealth Management, Americas, UBS, U.S, Bank Wealth Management, Verdence Capital Advisors, Bank of America, Dow, Riley Wealth Management, Fed, Walgreens, Micron, Nike, Constellation Brands

☆ The S&P 500 broke out to a 13-month high and is flashing a 'rare signal.' Here's what analysts are saying
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-13 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 is flashing a "rare signal" that suggests the market rally has some legs, Bank of America says. He noted it's only the 25th time that the broader index notched a new 52-week high after a long pause of 300 or more calendar days between 52-week highs. "And what it does suggest is that the S & P should have stronger-than-average returns going out from 10 days to a year, and even two years later." Of the previous 24 signals, the S & P 500 notched a double-digit gain 16 times. For example, while the S & P 500 has notched a new 52-week high, only a small percentage of the index has managed the same milestone, which suggests narrow leadership.

Persons: Stephen Suttmeier, Suttmeier, it's, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky Organizations: Bank of America Locations: United Kingdom

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with BTIG's Jonathan KrinskyJonathan Krinsky, BTIG chief market technician, and the CNBC investment committee join 'Halftime Report' to discuss the overly enthusiastic push for a bull market, wide credit spreads, and historical perspective on market technicals.

Persons: BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky Jonathan Krinsky Organizations: CNBC

☆ Wide credit spreads are inconsistent with a bull market shift, says BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWide credit spreads are inconsistent with a bull market shift, says BTIG's Jonathan KrinskyJonathan Krinsky, BTIG chief market technician, and the CNBC investment committee join 'Halftime Report' to discuss the overly enthusiastic push for a bull market, wide credit spreads, and historical perspective on market technicals.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky Jonathan Krinsky Organizations: CNBC

☆ Chart analysts see market correction coming after temporary debt ceiling-deal euphoria
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-30 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

But market breadth, or the measure of how wide-reaching a rally is, has ebbed. CanaccordGenuity technical analyst Javed Mirza said in a note to clients on Monday that an "intermediate-term equity market correction looms" if market breadth does not improve. Over the past three months, the Nasdaq 100 has gained more than 18%, and the S & P 500 has advanced nearly 6%. Meanwhile, the Invesco S & P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) has fallen more than 3%. According to Bespoke Investment Group, 90 stocks in the S & P 500 have hit 52-week highs this month.

☆ Big tech is still the hope in a sideways stock market
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-15 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

With the S & P 500 down 1% this month, and essentially flat for the quarter, the best you can say is that the overall trend has moved from down in 2022 to mostly sideways in 2023. Lowry, the nation's oldest technical analysis service, has taken to calling the rally in tech "the mega-cap mirage." Lowry noted over the weekend that "core indicators of market health have demonstrated significant deterioration from the early February market high through recent days." Even as the S & P 500 was near a new rally high for the year recently, the S & P Midcap 400 and S & P Smallcap 600 were 12% and 17% below their February 2nd highs last week. Only 46% of S & P 500 stocks are above their 200-day moving averages, hardly a sign of broad market strength.

☆ Stock futures slip on Sunday night after S&P 500 and Dow post two straight weekly losses: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-14 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) during morning trading on February 01, 2023 in New York City. U.S. stock futures fell slightly on Sunday night following back-to-back weekly losses for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500. Dow futures fell by 70 points, or about 0.2%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures dipped 0.21% and 0.27%, respectively. On Monday, investors are watching for the May data for the Empire State Index, which will show how New York State manufacturers feel about the economy.

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